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  Vol. 249 No. 11, March 18, 1983 TABLE OF CONTENTS
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The Future of Family Medicine in Response to Demographic Changes and Increasing Specialization

William Reichel, MD

JAMA. 1983;249(11):1445-1447.

Since this article does not have an abstract, we have provided the first 150 words of the full text PDF and any section headings.

IN 18 years, we will enter the next millenium. I want to refer to two major changes occurring that will deeply affect medical practice in the year 2000. First are the demographic changes taking place throughout the world with an increasingly elderly population; second is the increasing use of technology in medicine.

In the year 1900, 4% of the population in the United States were 65 years or older. At the present time, 11.3% are older than 65 years. Various projections exist for the year 2000. It is likely that 12.2% of the American population in the year 2000 will be older than 65 years. By the year 2020, those older than 65 years will constitute 15.6% of the population and, by the year 2035, 18.3%. An increasingly older population is being seen throughout the world, including in nations of Asia, South America, and Africa.

The other important phenomenon is . . . [Full Text PDF of this Article]


Author Affiliations

From the Department of Family Practice, Franklin Square Hospital, Baltimore.


Footnotes

Reprint requests to Department of Family Practice, Franklin Square Hospital, Baltimore, MD 21237 (Dr Reichel).



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